Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.009646 0.011444 0.013631 0.016534 0.020362 0.025352 0.032552
2025-08-24 0.007067 0.009031 0.011695 0.015716 0.021921 0.031700 0.049673
2025-08-31 0.005990 0.008052 0.011069 0.016079 0.024841 0.041122 0.079100
2025-09-07 0.005103 0.007094 0.010160 0.015610 0.026069 0.048262 0.112423
2025-09-14 0.004422 0.006300 0.009308 0.014940 0.026591 0.054278 0.152409
2025-09-21 0.004005 0.005844 0.008902 0.014931 0.028417 0.064714 0.230058
2025-09-28 0.003772 0.005642 0.008879 0.015635 0.032144 0.083846 0.419440
2025-10-05 0.003665 0.005632 0.009187 0.017097 0.038553 0.120186 1.056970
2025-10-12 0.003473 0.005443 0.009122 0.017721 0.043091 0.157631 2.742795
2025-10-19 0.003218 0.005109 0.008717 0.017435 0.044715 0.184811 6.574638
2025-10-26 0.003037 0.004890 0.008511 0.017591 0.048004 0.231244 33.249877
2025-11-02 0.002838 0.004616 0.008151 0.017264 0.049408 0.270075 453.138964
2025-11-09 0.002582 0.004231 0.007548 0.016269 0.048220 0.290849 NaN
2025-11-16 0.002366 0.003905 0.007040 0.015451 0.047512 0.319673 NaN
2025-11-23 0.002258 0.003778 0.006951 0.015805 0.052351 0.448063 NaN
2025-11-30 0.002109 0.003556 0.006615 0.015346 0.053088 0.530514 NaN
2025-12-07 0.001963 0.003328 0.006243 0.014692 0.052473 0.592273 NaN
2025-12-14 0.001871 0.003201 0.006086 0.014683 0.055490 0.791570 NaN
2025-12-21 0.001824 0.003163 0.006137 0.015371 0.063445 1.384719 NaN
2025-12-28 0.001815 0.003202 0.006378 0.016798 0.078610 3.785806 NaN
2026-01-04 0.001765 0.003150 0.006387 0.017407 0.089174 9.584773 NaN
2026-01-11 0.001683 0.003020 0.006178 0.017128 0.091992 17.270174 NaN
2026-01-18 0.001624 0.002937 0.006082 0.017280 0.099447 58.492556 NaN